Back in January, I wrote a piece about how Jeffrey Gundlach was wrong about Puerto Rico’s default risk — “I don’t care if [Puerto Rico] securities flop around,” Gundlach said, they will find a way to pay.
The territory’s power utility, the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) — which is already in forbearance for tapping its debt service reserve funds — is expected to exhaust those funds and have a monetary default on July 1st. According to the trustee, after reserves are drawn down (and trustee fees are paid), PREPA will be short $150 million. The monolines have wrapped most of the maturities coming due that day and will have to cough up the cash for investors.
Investors and bond insurers have tentatively agreed on a proposal for how they’d be willing to alter terms on the authority’s existing securities, according to a person with direct knowledge of the discussions.
Suspending principal and interest payments or asking bondholders to reduce the amount owed would help Prepa as it seeks to modernize a system that relies mostly on petroleum to produce electricity.
Obligations of the utility that mature in July 2042 traded Thursday at an average price of 54.6 cents on the dollar, the highest since June 2 …
Regardless of how PREPA’s commitments shift, investors in all Puerto Rico securities will be negotiating difficult terrain from this point on. This will likely be the first of many creative revisions, which will all ultimately amount to bondholders not receiving what they were originally promised.
I heard from a congressional staffer yesterday that Representative Jeffrey Duncan sent out a “Dear Colleague” letter asking for a financial control board for Puerto Rico to address its debt crisis. Establishing a federal financial control board for Puerto Rico could potentially be the best option for residents. I have started thinking through the mechanics of how such a board might work and the history of emergency interventions in the municipal market —no, this is not an unprecedented event.
Objectively speaking, any Chapter 9 legislation will be ineffective when applied to Puerto Rico
Representative Duncan’s letter was written in response to H.R. 870, the “Puerto Rico Chapter 9 Uniformity Act of 2015.” This legislation wasrecently discussed in a hearing of the House Judiciary Committee’s Subcommittee on Regulatory Reform, Commercial and Antitrust Law.
H.R. 870 has proven to be quite controversial and bondholders have spared no expense in lobbying policymakers to scrap it. The legislation should be scrapped, but not necessarily for moral reasons. As drafted, the legislation would be ineffective. Continue reading



Fast food is hardly health food, but when you’re on the road or it’s late at night, sometimes it’s your only option. These are the menu options to look for that will fill you up without filling you out.









